Social and Economic Affairs

16 posts

Social and economic consequences of the corona crisis

Influenza Pandemics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Fraser Summerfield, Livio Di Matteo: Influenza Pandemics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Recent Economic History, in: CCHE/CCES Working Paper No. 210,002 (March, 2021).

COVID-19 and the associated economic disruption is not a unique pairing. Catastrophic health events including the ‘Black Death’ and the ‘Spanish Flu’ also featured major economic disruptions. This paper focuses on significant health shocks during 1870-2016 from a singular virus: influenza. Continue reading

De-Globalisation?

Pol Antràs: De-Globalisation? Global Value Chains in the Post-COVID-19 Age, in: NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper Nr. 28115 (November 2020).

This paper evaluates the extent to which the world economy has entered a phase of de-globalisation, and it offers some speculative thoughts on the future of global value chains in the post-COVID-19 age. Continue reading

IMF: World Economic Outlook

International Monetary Fund (ed.): World Economic Outlook Update. Policy Support and Vaccines Expected to Lift Activity (January 2021).

Policy Support and Vaccines Expected to Lift Activity

From the report:

“Although recent vaccine approvals have raised hopes of a turnaround in the pandemic later this year, renewed waves and new variants of the virus pose concerns for the outlook. Continue reading

Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis

Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim, Stefanie Stantcheva, David Y. Yang: Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis, in: NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper Nr. 27972 (October 2020).

Civil liberties are sometimes considered non-tradable and “sacred,” and their protection a hallmark of democracies. Using representative surveys of 480,000 respondents from 15 countries, the Authors found that citizens demonstrate a clear willingness to trade off civil liberties for improved public health conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Continue reading

Globalization and Pandemics

Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg: Globalization and Pandemics, in. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper No. 27840 (September 2020).

The authors develop a model of human interaction to analyze the relationship between globalization and pandemics. Their framework provides joint microfoundations for the gravity equation for international trade and the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of disease dynamics. The authors show that there are cross-country epidemiological externalities, such that whether a global pandemic breaks out depends critically on the disease environment in the country with the highest rates of domestic infection. Continue reading

Affects on inequality

Davide Furceri, Prakash Loungani, Jonathan D. Ostry and Pietro Pizzuto: Will Covid-19 affect inequality? Evidence from past pandemics, in: CEPR Press, Issue 12, Mai 1, 2020, p. 138-157.

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Effects on payment

Loretta J. Mester: Payments and the Pandemic. Keynote Speech: 20th Anniversary Chicago Payments Symposium – Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago,  September 23, 2020.

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Economic Impact of the Black Death

Remi Jedwab, Noel D. Johnson, Mark Koyama: The Economic Impact of the Black Death, in: IIEP-WP-2020-14, August 2020.

The “Black Death” was the biggest demographic shock in European history. The authors of this paper review the origin, spread and mortality of the disease. They document that it was an plausibly exogenous shock for the European economy and trace its aggregate and local impacts in both the short and long term.

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Deficit spending

Deficit spending as in war financing?

Harold James: COVID-19, debt monetization, and lessons from war financing,
Webinar at the Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University, April 24, 2020.

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Boston Consulting Group

Boston Consulting Group: BCG Perspectives. COVID-19. Facts, scenarios, and actions for leaders. Publication #2 with a focus on: Preparing for the restart, 20 April 2020.

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